TRX Price Prediction 2025: Analyzing Bullish Potential Amid Market Volatility

#TRX

• Technical Strength: Price above key moving averages with Bollinger Band squeeze suggesting potential breakout
• Ecosystem Growth: TRON network developments and stablecoin news creating fundamental support
• Regulatory Watch: Hong Kong and Russian crypto policies may introduce volatility

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerging

TRX is currently trading at 0.28290000 USDT, above its 20-day moving average of 0.275550, indicating a potential bullish trend. The MACD shows a slight bearish crossover (-0.003067), but the price holding above the middle Bollinger Band (0.275550) suggests underlying strength. 'TRX shows resilience despite short-term bearish momentum,' says BTCC analyst Emma. 'A sustained break above 0.286416 could confirm the bullish case.'

TRX Market Sentiment: Mixed but Leaning Bullish

News flow around TRX is creating a complex but ultimately positive backdrop. While regulatory developments (Hong Kong trust law reforms, Russian stablecoin launch) introduce volatility, Justin Sun's growing influence and Binance's FDUSD confirmation provide stability. 'The Forbes cover story on Justin Sun underscores TRON's rising institutional credibility,' notes BTCC's Emma. 'News-driven volatility may create buying opportunities for long-term investors.'

Factors Influencing TRX's Price

TRON (TRX) Price Prediction 2025: Bullish Momentum Amid Volatile Outlook

TRON (TRX) continues to defy market skepticism, trading at $0.2876 with a 6.02% weekly gain despite a 17.11% drop in daily volume. The resilience underscores its utility in TRC20 stablecoin transactions and technical strength.

Analysts highlight a 'Channel Up' configuration, with $0.25 acting as a robust support level anchored by the 200-day SMA. Short-term targets hover at $0.30, while long-term projections reach $0.45—contingent on sustained bullish momentum.

Divergence emerges in 2025 forecasts: DigitalCoinPrice's optimistic $0.63 target contrasts with more conservative estimates. Market volatility remains the defining theme, with TRX's fate tied to both technical patterns and real-world adoption metrics.

Russia to Launch Ruble-Backed Stablecoin and RT-Pay Platform

Russia's state-owned technology conglomerate Rostec is making a strategic entry into digital finance with the upcoming launch of RUBx, a ruble-pegged stablecoin, and the RT-Pay payment platform. Built on the TRON blockchain, each RUBx token will maintain a 1:1 peg with the Russian ruble, backed by actual debt obligations under Russian law.

The initiative aims to streamline domestic digital transactions while reinforcing the ruble's digitization. Rostec, a key player in Russia's defense and tech sectors, will serve as the sole issuer and operator—ensuring centralized control over the stablecoin's governance and compliance framework.

Deputy General Director Alexander Nazarov emphasized the transparency of RUBx's fiat backing, positioning it as a regulated alternative to decentralized cryptocurrencies. The move signals Russia's broader ambition to integrate blockchain technology into its financial infrastructure without ceding monetary sovereignty.

Justin Sun Calls for Reform of Hong Kong's Trust Laws After TUSD Misappropriation Allegations

In Hong Kong, Justin Sun, the founder of the TRON blockchain, held a press conference addressing allegations of fund misappropriation involving Techteryx's TrueUSD reserves. Sun claimed that TrueUSD's reserves were misappropriated by a few bad actors, leading him to bail out the stablecoin. He pointed to loopholes and loose rules in Hong Kong's regulatory framework surrounding trusts as the cause of the alleged misappropriation, stating that it poses a serious challenge to the integrity of the financial system. No mention of specific cryptocurrencies or exchanges was made in the context of this news.

Why Forbes Put Justin Sun on the Cover: The Rise of China’s Crypto Power Broker

In March 2025, Forbes put Justin Sun, founder of TRON and global advisor of HTX, on its digital asset daily cover with the headline 'Meet The Crypto Billionaire Who helped the Trumps Make $400 Million.' This marks the second time a Chinese entrepreneur has appeared on the Forbes U.S. cover, placing Sun among crypto exchange moguls like CZ (Binance), SBF (FTX), and Brian Armstrong (Coinbase). Sun's appearance signals that China’s new breed of entrepreneurs is defining the rules of the game in Web3.

Binance Confirms FDUSD Reserves Accuracy After De-Pegging Event

Binance has reaffirmed the accuracy of FDUSD’s reserve attestation for February, addressing concerns sparked by a brief de-pegging event. In an update, Binance stated it reviewed First Digital USD’s (FDUSD) reserve data twice to ensure accuracy. As of Mar. 1, FDUSD had $2.05 billion in reserves, according to the audit by Prescient Assurance. These reserves, kept in fixed deposits and U.S. Treasuries, guarantee a 1:1 redemption with USD. The update comes after TRON (TRX) founder Justin Sun accused the stablecoin’s issuer, First Digital Trust, of being insolvent, causing FDUSD to momentarily lose its peg.

First Digital Trust Denies Insolvency Claims by Justin Sun, Defends FDUSD Stability

Hong Kong-based First Digital Trust (FDT) stablecoin FDUSD lost its peg after TRON founder Justin Sun claimed on social media that the company was 'effectively insolvent,' preventing users from redeeming their FDUSD assets. Binance holds 94% of the FDUSD supply, raising concerns after the depeg incident. However, First Digital Trust defends FDUSD's stability, stating that it is fully backed by US Treasury bills.

Is TRX a good investment?

TRX presents an interesting investment case based on current technicals and news flow:

BTCC's Emma suggests: 'While MACD shows short-term bearishness, the fundamental developments around TRON's ecosystem and Justin Sun's growing influence create a favorable risk/reward scenario for investors with 6-12 month horizons.'

Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk and investors should conduct their own research.